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Real GDP Growth: Next 20-Year Forecasts vs. Past 20-Year Rates
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. GDP: Gross Domestic Product. Source: OECD, Fidelity Investments (AART), as of 5/31/20.
Medicare and Social Security Obligations in Perspective
Congressional Budget Office, Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2019 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance and Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds, Fidelity Investments (AART), as of 12/31/19. GDP: Gross Domestic Product. Source: OECD, Fidelity Investments (AART), as of 5/31/20
There may not be a "magic number" that serves as a mathematical threshold above which debt levels immediately prove unsustainable, but there is likely a psychological threshold that eventually proves insurmountable. If it becomes obvious that inflation and currency depreciation are the only way out, creditors will be increasingly unwilling to finance higher debt levels at low interest rates.
- Diversification and asset allocation do not ensure a profit or guarantee against loss.